Sad is being a bear in a bull market. The opposite is also true as with old HJ (hope I got his name right) a year ago with his eternally hopeful "Markets will rise today" prayers. BTW, where is HJ these days?
What yr time frame you looking at? If it is short term 5 days or less then you are about 2 days two early, Late tomorrow should give a sell signal but not sure how long it will last though. OBV says collecting shares (bullish), RSI says getting there (bearish), Sto says getting there(bearish), volume is flattish to down (usually bearish). Next big looking glass is now sitting at resistance from 5 november 2008. If it punches through this the leg up is to 281 then 350. So Eddie you are taking a rather risky trade at the mo. Keep them stops very tight for a change. ;-) Short term weakness/consolidation expected but dont count on it.
I agree with CPS . If it breaks through today , we could easily see 28500c in the short term . The ***** think about AGL is that it drops as fast as it runs - Keep stop losses in place , But I would suggest long on AGL !
Now that really depends on your trading timeframe. an intra day trader can loose out on a trade in 3 minutes or less so even a breakout for 15 minutes means a huge thing to a day trader. You obviously took Yanatans model to literally. ;-)
IMO this market is breaking through resistance levels all round, the S&P and the DOW are looking very strong. If you are in shortI would think very seriously about cutting losses. IMO, AGL has to retrace over R10 to close below resistance with the Alsi up over 2% and the resi flying its not going to do that.
For what it is worth Eddie, I will share my trading strategy with you, if it helps. AGL formed an ascending triangle, since Jan 09 with volumes getting progressively less up til now. These are usually bullish, but you could view the 2500 level as resistance and trade it short. A breakout like today needs to be off the back of good volume, which is not really the case today, but we will see. The 3 scenarios i see are 1) this is a fake out meaning it will pull back, in which case I might be tempted to short on a close below EMA(22) - however I only do that if the close = low and subsequent day moves 50pts down 2) It rallies from here 3) it rallies a bit and then pulls back - in which case the 2500 becomes support. Personally, I am entering the trade tomorrow at open, if close = high and volume picks up. I find it better to ride out the pullback rather than risk it not pulling back at all.
Skaap...Sorry no reginald in da house but can call me Peter though. C-P(eter)-S. ;-)
RSI setting up for a sell like I said. Only ROM and Sto to follow later today. MACD overbought and OBV at peak. With all that said a share can have a signal but still trade sideways/up for quite a while so watch your stops....
BTW I HAVE NEVER TRADED AGL THOUGH. Once I traded it paper for Skaaps post a few weeks ago when it was sitting at 190 odd and I jumped out with a paper profit of over 15% in 5 days.